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(1992-2015) Decreasing optimism regarding restoration of peace in Afghanistan within the next 6 months.

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According to a Gallup Pakistan National Survey conducted in the year 1992 (24 years ago) respondents had been asked if they believed that peace and harmony would be restored in Afghanistan within the next 6 months. In response, 32% said that there was a ‘very high chance’ while 27% said that there was a ‘high chance to an extent’. 21% said that there was ‘little to somewhat chance’ and 9% said that there was ‘very little chance’. 11% did not respond.

Comparative Picture: The question was asked again in 2015 to enable a concrete comparison. In 2015, 25% respondents said that there is a ‘very high chance’ that peace is restored in Afghanistan within the next 6 months, 33% said that there is a’ high chance to an extent’ while 24% said that there is a ‘somewhat chance’. 16% on the other hand said that there is a ‘very little chance’ and 2% did not respond.

Public opinion regarding restoration of peace in Afghanistan has shown decreasing optimism during the course of these 24 years. By 2015 there has been a 7% decrease in those who believe that there is a ‘very high chance’ that peace will be restored while on the other hand there has been a 6% increase in those who believe that there is a ‘high chance to an extent’. There has also been a 3% increase in those who believe that there is a ‘somewhat to low chance’ of peace being restored and a 7% increase in those who believe that there is a ‘very little chance’.

This press release has been made as part of the Gallup Pakistan History Project which aims to release historical empirical polling data to wider audiences. The objective is to sustain and encourage empirical decision making in Pakistan.

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