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Gallup Pakistan Exit Poll: ELECTION DAY SURVEY


Gallup Pakistan carried out a large scale Election Day Survey on February 18 across all four provinces of Pakistan. The survey was not meant to be an early prediction or to monitor the fairness of elections. It was a survey to determine the age, income and education composition of the vote banks of the leading political parties. But it also captured perceptions about fairness of elections, voter’s outlook on the powers of the prime minister and a host of other issues.

The survey was carried out by Gallup Pakistan in cooperation with PILDAT exclusively for the Daily Business Recorder and Aaj TV.

The findings are presented here in the form of eleven reports. Report 1 analyses profile of political party vote banks, by age, gender, education, income group and previous voting history. Report 2 discusses voter perceptions about fairness of the electoral process. Report 3 captures voters opinion on powers of the President and Prime Minister. Report 4 reveals voters choices for various party alliances. Report 5 discussed motivations to vote categorizing them into seven voters types. Report 6 looks at voters views on Prime Ministerial favorites. Report 7 discusses voters sense of efficacy as well as apprehensions about incomplete tenures. Report 8 contrasts the views of leaders and voters on the issue of Presidential powers. Report 9 compares voting behavior across education groups. Report 10 compares voting behavior of families of Overseas Pakistanis. The final report in this series analyses the role of biradri (kinship ties) in the electoral politics of Pakistan.

The findings are based on a survey of 5338 statistically selected voters from all the four provinces of Pakistan. They were randomly selected as they stepped out of polling stations after casting their vote.

All of these reports were submitted for publication to the Daily Business Recorder which has been serializing them during the period February 20, 2008 to March 4, 2008.