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Gallup Public Pulse on Panama Leaks Verdict – 24 Hours after the Announcement

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Topic 1: General Feelings / Emotions on the Panama Verdict

Only 1 in 3 Pakistanis say they Like the Judgment in the Panama Case

Respondents were asked if they liked or disliked Supreme Court’s verdict on the Panama case. In response, 36% they liked the verdict, 43% said they disliked the verdict and 21% were indifferent.

Close to Majority (40%) say they would have given a stricter judgment if they were a Supreme Court Judge

Respondents were then asked if they were the Supreme Court’s judge, would they have given the same decision, a stricter decision, or a less strict decision. In response, 40% said they would have given a more strict decision, 21% said a less strict decision, 23% said the same decision and 16% did not know.

Opinion Split if History would remember this as a Good or Bad Decision , 37% vs 45%

Respondents were further if in their opinion, the Supreme Court’s decision would be remembered as a good decision or as a bad decision. In response, 37% said as a good decision, 45% said as a bad decision and 18% did not know.

Majority (55%) say that they believe the Judgment is overall in Favor of Nawaz Sharif , only 14% think it is against Nawaz Sharif

Respondents were then asked whether the verdict was in favour of Nawaz Sharif or against him. In response, 55% said the verdict was in favour of Nawaz Sharif, 14% said against Nawaz Sharif and 31% said neither in his favour, nor against him.

Topic 2: Effect of Judgment

Only 29% Pakistanis believe the judgment would lead to less corruption in the country; 28% say it would have an overall good impact and 30% say growth rate would increase as a result of the verdict

Respondents were then asked if the judgment would help reduce corruption amongst the politicians, or there would be no difference or corruption would increase. In response, 29% said corruption would decrease, 51% said there would be no difference, while 20% said corruption would increase.

Respondents were further asked if verdict had an overall good or bad impact on Pakistan. In response to this question, 28% said a good impact, 32% said bad impact, 32% said did not have a significant impact and 8% did not know.

Respondents were then asked would Pakistan’s growth rate increase, decrease or remain the same after the Panama verdict. In response, 30% said growth rate would increase, 35% said growth rate would decrease, while 35% said there would not be any significant difference.

Topic 3: Change in Voting Intention

Voting Intention before Verdict: PML N Tops by a margin, PTI Second, followed by PPP

Respondents were then asked their voting intention for the upcoming election before the Panama verdict. In response to the question, 17% said they would have voted for PPP, 38% said PML-N, 22% said PTI, 3% said independent nominee, 2% each said JUI, ANP, MQM (Farooq Sattar)and BNP. 1% each said PSP, JI and PML-F, while <1% each said MQM(London) and PML-Q. 8% said they would not cast their vote and 1% did not know or did not wish to respond.

Voting Intention after Verdict: 2% Drop in PML N Voters, 3% Rise in PTI Popularity

Respondents were then asked their voting intention after the Panama verdict. In response to the question, 16% said they would have voted for PPP, 36% said PML-N and 25% said PTI. 3% said JUI and 2% each said, ANP, JI, BNP and independent nominee. 1% each said PSP, MQM (Farooq Sattar) and PML-F, while <1% each said MQM(London) and PML-Q. 8% said they would not cast their vote and 1% did not know or did not wish to respond.

Topic 4: Miscellaneous

Overall Support for Supreme Court to take Political Cases such as Panama Leaks

Respondents were then asked should Supreme Court interfere in political cases like Panama case or not. In response, 39% said they favour Supreme Courts interference, 26% said they are against, while 24% said they are neither in favour nor against Supreme Courts interference. 11% did not know.

Nearly half Pakistanis think the Judgment has declared Nawaz Sharif neither corrupt nor disqualified him

Respondents were further asked if Supreme Court has declared Nawaz Sharif corrupt and has not disqualified him, or he has neither been declared corrupt nor has been disqualified. In response, 39% said Supreme Court has declared Nawaz Sharif corrupt but has not disqualified him, while 46% said he has neither been declared corrupt nor has been disqualified. 15% did not know.

32% Pakistani’s say that Public in general has not accepted the Panama verdict.

Respondents were then asked their opinion that which figures/ parties have accepted the Panama decision.  For Nawaz Sharif and PML-N, 71% said they have completely accepted the decision, 20% said accepted to some extent, while 9% said did not accept the decision at all.  For Imran Khan and PTI, 19% said they have completely accepted the decision, 36% said accepted to some extent, while 45% said did not accept the decision at all.  For Jamat-i-Islami, 17% said they have completely accepted the decision, 46% said accepted to some extent, while 37% said did not accept the decision at all. For Sheikh Rasheed, 14% said they have completely accepted the decision, 33% said accepted to some extent, while 53% said did not accept the decision at all.  For PPP, 17% said they have completely accepted the decision, 39% said accepted to some extent, while 44% said did not accept the decision at all.  For the general public, 28% said they have completely accepted the decision, 40% said accepted to some extent, while 32% said did not accept the decision at all. 

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