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Political Weather Report, September 2019

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PTI GOVT GENERAL PERFORMANCE: NOT SO GREAT BUT NOT SO BAD EITHER

45% Pakistanis claim to be satisfied (very much/somewhat) with the PTI government’s performance

16% claim to be dissatisfied and 37% claim to be very dissatisfied with the PTI government’s performance. 2% did not know or wish to respond.

Important Insights

  1. PTI appears to hold its own voters together as significant majority of PTI voters are satisfied (much higher than national number).
  2. Approval ratings drop after 1st year in governance for most parties in Pakistan (since opinion polling data has been gathered). This is therefore not unusual or unprecedented.
  3. Majority of under 30 age group satisfied with PTI’s performance. We also observe that with increase in age, satisfaction with PTI’s government decreases. For example, in 50+ age group satisfaction reduces to 30% (a good 15% less than national average).

Almost 9 in 10 Pakistanis (89%) say that inflation in the country has increased since PTI came to power.

Only 10% say it has not increased. 1% did not know or wish to respond.

Important Insights

Most PTI voters also say inflation has increased.

CM PUNJAB: POOR RATING BY GENERAL PUBLIC BUT SPLIT PTI VOTERS

44% of Pakistanis say that Usman Buzdar should be replaced as the Chief Minister of Punjab.

38% say he should not be replaced. 18% did not know or did not wish to respond.

Important Insights

Support for replacement within PTI is lower that national average and more PTI voters would like to retain Buzdar as CM as compared to those who would replace.

3 in 5 Pakistanis (60%) believe that Mian Shahbaz Sharif performed better as Chief Minister of Punjab than Usman Buzdar.

Only 22% opine that Usman Buzdar’s performance is better. 16% did not know and 1% did not wish to respond.

Important Insights

Within Punjab an even larger proportion holds this opinion. PTI voters are split as well, however a larger proportion of PTI voters think Buzdar is doing a good job than those who think he is doing a worse off job than SS.

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